McKinsey and Bloomberg New Energy Economics recently released a report that high-level driverless cars will reach 50% of overall sales in 2030, and electric vehicles will account for two-thirds. Unmanned technology has made great strides in recent years due to concerns about road safety, potential cost savings, and a range of technological innovations.
The McKinsey report predicts that all-wheelless cars are likely to be on the road in the mid-1920s. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Level 4 is the highest level of driverless technology.
Automakers and new competitors who have just entered the market are scrambling to launch driverless technology. Tesla has said that it will automatically drive across the United States in 2018. Traditional automakers such as BMW, Ford, General Motors and Volkswagen also hope to launch driverless cars (level 3 or level 4) between 2020 and 2021. .
The report predicts that the market size of driverless cars (L4, Level 4) will reach 55 million to 60 million. By 2030, sales of high-level driverless cars (L3 and L4, Levels 3 and 4) will account for approximately 50% of overall passenger car sales.
McKinsey pointed out that the cost per mile of using unmanned shared electric taxis is on average 30% to 60% lower than that of private cars, depending on the number of people sharing.
By 2025, a private car costs about $0.43 per mile. If you use a driverless shared taxi, you can drop it from $0.17 to $0.29 per mile.
Driverless cars will also unlock the driver's driving time, providing an opportunity for online retailers or media service providers to connect with users on the road. In addition, future cars may also be connected to smart applications in the home, providing consumers with a seamless connection experience, making the car an extension of the home.
Electric cars will account for 2/3 in 2030
McKinsey reports that by 2030, electric vehicles in economically developed cities such as London and Singapore will account for two-thirds of the total car ownership. This is mainly due to strict emissions regulations, declining technology costs, and growing consumer interest.
Electric cars are becoming more and more popular today. In order to reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions, governments have encouraged the development of electric vehicles through subsidies, tax breaks and the division of low-emission zones.
According to the report, the technical costs associated with electric vehicles are rapidly declining. For example, the cost of lithium-ion batteries in 2015 was about $350 per kWh, a drop of 65% compared to $1,000 per kWh in 2010. This cost is expected to fall to $100 per kWh over the next decade.
According to the report: “In densely populated and high-income cities such as London and Singapore, electric vehicles will account for about 60% of total vehicle ownership in 2030, mainly due to strict exhaust emission regulations and declining technology costs. And growing consumer interest."
But at the same time, the gradual popularization of electric vehicles will pose a threat to the automotive industry.
The report said: "The future of the automotive industry may be completely different from the past, and may have to shift from a pure product ownership model to a series of transportation services."
Gasoline retailers should also consider how to further commercialize current assets and how to derive more value from the charging, retail market and fleet services.
Spencer Dale, chief economist at BP, said at the Energy Futures Summit, held at Bloomberg New Energy Economics, "Electric vehicles may take off at any time."
Eight future travel trends <br> <br> many rapidly growing trend is affecting the travel field, these trends include the electrification of the automobile, mobility and unmanned share, three belong to the core mobile trends; some assist trends, Such as connectivity and Internet of Things, public transport, livability and sustainability, urbanization and other macroeconomic trends, and the decentralization of energy generation and storage.
At the same time, the eight major trends affect each other and strengthen. In the next fifteen years, these trends will develop at different speeds, but will affect the development of mobile systems.
1. The rise of shared mobility will accelerate the electrification of cars. 2. Driverless technology may integrate various shared mobility business models to compete with private cars and buses. 3. Driverless cars (private cars and sharing) may Increased mobile consumption, electric vehicles will provide lower total cost of ownership 4. The rise of shared mobility will affect public transportation 5. Mass production of electric vehicles will accelerate battery cost decline 6. Driverless cars (private and shared) Will change the requirements of electric vehicle charging infrastructure. 7. The increase in renewable energy generation will make electric vehicles more attractive and can be used as a means to reduce carbon concentration. 8. Driverless vehicles may accelerate the popularity of IoT applications.
The McKinsey report predicts that all-wheelless cars are likely to be on the road in the mid-1920s. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Level 4 is the highest level of driverless technology.
Automakers and new competitors who have just entered the market are scrambling to launch driverless technology. Tesla has said that it will automatically drive across the United States in 2018. Traditional automakers such as BMW, Ford, General Motors and Volkswagen also hope to launch driverless cars (level 3 or level 4) between 2020 and 2021. .
The report predicts that the market size of driverless cars (L4, Level 4) will reach 55 million to 60 million. By 2030, sales of high-level driverless cars (L3 and L4, Levels 3 and 4) will account for approximately 50% of overall passenger car sales.
McKinsey pointed out that the cost per mile of using unmanned shared electric taxis is on average 30% to 60% lower than that of private cars, depending on the number of people sharing.
By 2025, a private car costs about $0.43 per mile. If you use a driverless shared taxi, you can drop it from $0.17 to $0.29 per mile.
Driverless cars will also unlock the driver's driving time, providing an opportunity for online retailers or media service providers to connect with users on the road. In addition, future cars may also be connected to smart applications in the home, providing consumers with a seamless connection experience, making the car an extension of the home.
Electric cars will account for 2/3 in 2030
McKinsey reports that by 2030, electric vehicles in economically developed cities such as London and Singapore will account for two-thirds of the total car ownership. This is mainly due to strict emissions regulations, declining technology costs, and growing consumer interest.
Electric cars are becoming more and more popular today. In order to reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions, governments have encouraged the development of electric vehicles through subsidies, tax breaks and the division of low-emission zones.
According to the report, the technical costs associated with electric vehicles are rapidly declining. For example, the cost of lithium-ion batteries in 2015 was about $350 per kWh, a drop of 65% compared to $1,000 per kWh in 2010. This cost is expected to fall to $100 per kWh over the next decade.
According to the report: “In densely populated and high-income cities such as London and Singapore, electric vehicles will account for about 60% of total vehicle ownership in 2030, mainly due to strict exhaust emission regulations and declining technology costs. And growing consumer interest."
But at the same time, the gradual popularization of electric vehicles will pose a threat to the automotive industry.
The report said: "The future of the automotive industry may be completely different from the past, and may have to shift from a pure product ownership model to a series of transportation services."
Gasoline retailers should also consider how to further commercialize current assets and how to derive more value from the charging, retail market and fleet services.
Spencer Dale, chief economist at BP, said at the Energy Futures Summit, held at Bloomberg New Energy Economics, "Electric vehicles may take off at any time."
Eight future travel trends <br> <br> many rapidly growing trend is affecting the travel field, these trends include the electrification of the automobile, mobility and unmanned share, three belong to the core mobile trends; some assist trends, Such as connectivity and Internet of Things, public transport, livability and sustainability, urbanization and other macroeconomic trends, and the decentralization of energy generation and storage.
At the same time, the eight major trends affect each other and strengthen. In the next fifteen years, these trends will develop at different speeds, but will affect the development of mobile systems.
1. The rise of shared mobility will accelerate the electrification of cars. 2. Driverless technology may integrate various shared mobility business models to compete with private cars and buses. 3. Driverless cars (private cars and sharing) may Increased mobile consumption, electric vehicles will provide lower total cost of ownership 4. The rise of shared mobility will affect public transportation 5. Mass production of electric vehicles will accelerate battery cost decline 6. Driverless cars (private and shared) Will change the requirements of electric vehicle charging infrastructure. 7. The increase in renewable energy generation will make electric vehicles more attractive and can be used as a means to reduce carbon concentration. 8. Driverless vehicles may accelerate the popularity of IoT applications.
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