China's 4G will strike, and manufacturers will wait for it

In the global tide of LTE evolution, Chinese operators who have just entered 3G are intensively deploying next-generation network construction. Compared with 3G, it has a higher experience speed, which may be relatively not very high tariff prices, which is very attractive to our consumers. Especially in the era of rapid development of mobile internet. For operators, especially China Mobile, because of the gap of TD-SCDMA in the 3G era, it has lost the competitiveness of telecommunications and China Unicom in this generation of communication. Therefore, it is hoped that 4G will be lost through the launch of 4G. And Unicom and Telecom have just tasted a little sweetness in 3G, and will not watch the mobile dominance, and are also stepping up the layout. For equipment manufacturers, this is also a big opportunity. Therefore, all the manufacturers in the industry chain are staring at this big cake, trying to get a slice of it, thus creating the beginning of another era of melee.

Operator confusion

China's 4G has not been launched, not only because of license issues, but also because of the forward-looking and backward-looking operators in terms of standards and frequency bands.

At present, the global LTE standard has frequency division multiple access FDD-LTE adopted by most operators, and there is also a relatively niche TD-LTE (standard adopted by China Mobile and Japan's Softbank). The advantages and disadvantages of the two technologies cannot be generalized, but relatively speaking, TDD has a more flexible bandwidth ratio and higher frequency utilization than FDD.

TD-LTE is a 4G mobile standard that China Mobile has participated in the construction. The choice of this standard for mobile is undoubtedly a problem. Since entering this year, China Mobile has opened up the 4G experience in several cities in China and is accelerating terminal procurement. Prepare for the issuance of 4G licenses. China Mobile's current goal is to make TD-LTE the global mainstream. But under the premise that FDD is highly mature, whether this card can be played well depends on how hard operators and equipment vendors work.

It has been said before that upgrading from TD-SCDMA to TD-LTE can only be achieved from software upgrades, but according to the editor, the base station can only be upgraded by updating the hardware. Due to the comparison of LTE single base station coverage Small, so it is inevitable to choose more new base stations. However, it is not difficult for the mobile net worth.

The adoption of FDD-LTE by China Unicom is basically a matter of course. According to industry sources, in the current technological evolution from 3G to 4G, China Unicom's WCDMA is the most mature. And China Unicom also said that the current WCDMA network supports the smooth evolution to FDD-LTE. Not only does it save a lot on construction costs, but it is also easy to solve compatibility issues with 3G communications.

For China Unicom, adopting this mainstream standard has inherent advantages in terms of users, prices, and terminal choices. It will also be more favorable in terms of other evolutionary pushes that are lagging behind. It is understood that China Unicom ’s existing 3G base station is upgraded to an FDD 4G base station. It only needs to add a motherboard to the base station and then debug the RF antenna and supporting software. It can be completed without the need to build a new network on a large scale. It is also a major advantage of China Unicom's choice of FDD system.

Relatively speaking, China Telecom is relatively slow on 4G. According to the chairman of China Telecom, Telecom will choose FDD LTE. For Telecom, the choice of standard is a difficult problem. Because he did not participate in the standard construction from the beginning like that, nor did he have the convenience of the transition from WCDMA to FDD-LTE.

Telecom chose FDD and may face the same problem of lack of spectrum resources as mobile, but there are examples of Verizon's successful evolution from CDMA to 4G in the United States. For telecommunications, this may be the reason for their decision.

But afterwards, there were relevant words from Wang Xiaochu that gave everyone more room for imagination. Wang Xiaochu pointed out that in China Telecom's 4G network deployment blueprint, FDD is still used for large-scale and wide-coverage 4G networks, and TDD will be used in urban areas to absorb excess traffic. It turned out to be a form of hybrid networking. This is beyond everyone's expectations.

Equipment manufacturers' wrestling

China's 4G has not yet entered the official commercial stage, but competition around equipment manufacturers has already started. In the mobile bidding a while ago, Nokia ’s ultra-low bid, combined with Huawei ’s salary increase and ZTE ’s equity incentives. All this is to prepare for the huge 4G market in China. In an environment of sluggish global communications construction, China's 4G is like a bombshell, which has stirred up the entire market, and everyone is rubbing their hands in preparation for a slice of soup.

In the previous bidding announcement for the mobile TD-LTE scale-up test network equipment, Nokia ’s quotation from Nokia ’s Nokia was the lowest among all equipment manufacturers. In the past, foreign equipment manufacturers ’quotations were always lower than ZTE ’s. And Huawei. Except that, this is an incredible thing, but considering the embarrassing position of Noci, all this seems to be justified.

Nokia Siemens is not the best technology among all equipment manufacturers, and its market share is not comparable to other companies. In general, it is in an inferior position. Nokia's parent company, Nokia, has lost its previous scenery because of its slow response in the wave of smartphones. Therefore, taking advantage of China's 4G opportunity, we quickly entered the field of telecom operators' information infrastructure and seized the next commanding height, hoping to take this to a higher level.

For Ericsson, this is the best era, but also the worst era. According to the latest fiscal quarter data, Ericsson's profit in the second quarter increased by 26% year-on-year, but in the East Asian market, Ericsson also faces huge challenges.

In China, due to the influence of local Huawei and ZTE, Ericsson's market share has continued to decline for some time. But in China's 4G construction boom. Johan Wibergh, head of Ericsson ’s network department, said: “I think the worst is over, and everyone in the industry needs some stability.”

As the largest patent holder of LTE and one of the initiators of TD-LTE, Ericsson will usher in rare opportunities in China Mobile's 4G construction. And Ericsson has also made a lot of efforts.

At the Barcelona Mobile Conference at the beginning of the year, Ericsson showed the world ’s first dual-mode HD VoLTE between TD-LTE and LTE FDD networks; in early May, Ericsson participated in China Mobile ’s TD-LTE scale-up test and achieved five major results. LTE network has accumulated experience; on June 26, during the GTI summit, Ericsson demonstrated TD-LTE high-definition voice and video calls (VoLTE) for the first time in the industry using commercial 4G mobile phones, demonstrating the maturity of the TD-LTE industry chain with practical actions contribution.

As a staunch supporter of TD-LTE, Ericsson has and will continue to provide the most advanced TD-LTE technology and excellent network performance as a basis to enhance Ericsson's competitiveness and serve the TD-LTE business of Chinese telecom operators, Lead TD-LTE out of China and into the world.

According to foreign media reports, after Alcatel-Lucent changed its CEO, it set its sights on China as a key development area. And they have been selling well here. After all, when China Mobile Communications Group announced the launch of 4G technology tests in 13 cities in China, Alcatel-Lucent won three cities: Shanghai, Nanjing and Qingdao.

According to a survey by market research company iSuppli, Alcatel-Lucent occupies 14.5% of the trial market, which is already ranked ahead of other Western competitors (Ericsson only accounts for 8%), but it is behind Chinese local companies Huawei and ZTE.

Many Chinese companies such as Huawei, ZTE and Belling, due to their inherent geographical advantages, especially Huawei and ZTE, believe that they will stand out in this 4G construction. In the previous bid for LTE trial network in 13 cities of China Mobile, the domestic camp accounted for up to 70%.

According to Huawei sources: Huawei's focus on next-generation network technology is continuously promoting Huawei's carrier network business to achieve double-digit growth. After stopping the US network business, Huawei now hopes to cooperate with the Asia-Pacific market, especially the domestic market. To achieve growth.

ZTE, which is weak in the development of the mobile terminal, is looking forward to this, praying for the encouragement of employees through equity incentives, and replicating the glory in the 3G era. ZTE has also been recognized by the market. From the trend of stocks, the capital market is optimistic about ZTE's development prospects in 4G.

In the first TD-LTE tender for China Mobile last year, both Huawei and ZTE received a 25% share, occupying half of the country; in the TD-LTE network project in Hong Kong, ZTE assumed 50% of the construction tasks; China Putian won the bid with its independently developed products Compared with previous TD-SCDMA tenders, the share has also greatly increased.

In this market with hundreds of billions of designs, who can stand out among them may change its position among global equipment manufacturers. This is no wonder why major manufacturers frequently speak to support China's 4G construction. Even hesitate to adopt such a "big killer" to seize the market at a low price.

Later words

China's large-scale commercial use of LTE will take some time. It tests the technology and promotion level of equipment manufacturers and operators. The competition is also fierce. How to occupy China's LTE market through its own strength is related to the development pattern of telecom equipment vendors in China and even the world. It is hoped that Chinese companies will take this opportunity to improve their international competitiveness. The same can better promote China's mobile network construction.

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